Scientific Articles/Reports, Newsletters and Press Releases
Title:
Seasonal Forecast for the ASEAN Region
Date:
31-Mar-2020
Category:
Announcement
Source/Author:
Peatlands in SEA
Description:
Weather forecast from APEC Climate Center for April-June 2020
*|MC_PREVIEW_TEXT|*
PEATLANDS in Southeast Asia
Weather forecast from APEC Climate Center for April-June 2020
Based on the predictions, the prevailing Northeast Monsoon conditions are expected to continue until the end of March, and will gradually weaken as it transitions to inter-monsoon conditions in early April. In the northern ASEAN region, the dry season of the region may persist until May. Improving precipitation is predicted in June. In the southern ASEAN region, rainy weather is typically expected between April and May. There is an increased probability of above-normal rainfall for the southern ASEAN region, except over Peninsular Malaysia and northern Sumatra. Improving of precipitation is predicted in the southern ASEAN region in May and June.
In April 2020, below-normal rainfall is predicted for most of the ASEAN region especially region located between 0 to 15 degrees north. There is a higher likelihood for above-normal rainfall for selected portions in southern ASEAN region (e.g. Sulawesi, Papua and Java Islands, Indonesia). The latest APEC Climate Center (APCC) ENSO outlook suggests the probability for ENSO neutral conditions (62%) is dominant during April – June 2020. The probability for the conditions is likely to continue and be still dominant (48%) until July – September 2020. It is forecasted that there will be above-normal temperatures over most of the ASEAN region during the April-May 2020 period, except northern Myanmar where no dominant pattern is predicted. The near-normal temperature value is predicted in June 2020.
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